TIME SERIES ANALYSIS ON PATIENT ATTENDANCE (A CASE STUDY OF HAJIYA GAMBO SAWABA GENERAL HOSPITAL KOFAR GAYAN, ZARIA)
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TIME SERIES ANALYSIS
ON PATIENT ATTENDANCE
(A CASE STUDY OF
HAJIYA GAMBO SAWABA GENERAL HOSPITAL KOFAR GAYAN, ZARIA)
ABSTRACT
The aim of this project is to examine the
trend at which patients attends the hospital over the period of study. The
study therefore, shows the usefulness of statistics to medicine and hence
advice had always been sought by medical and health administrators from the
Department of Statistics on the analysis and interpretation of medical data. The
work is presented in five chapters. The first chapter being the introduction,
the second chapter is the review of related literature where views of various
writers on the topic concerned were analyzed. Chapter three is the research
methodology, it examine the various research methods and procedure used in the
data collection, it also highlight the techniques for data collections, where
the historical and survey research method were adopted, all the data collected
were presented and analysed in chapter four. Finally, chapter five summaries
the whole research work, conclusion were drawn from the study and suggestion /
recommendation on how to improve health care delivery to the people.
TABLE
OF CONTENTS
Title
Page
Approval
Page
Declaration
Dedication
Acknowledgement
Abstract
Table
Contents
CHAPTER ONE
1.1 Introduction
1.2 Aims of Objective
1.3 Scope and Limitation
1.4 Historical Background of Source of Data
CHAPTER TWO
2.1 Literature Review
2.2 Statistical Tools
2.3 Definition of Basic Concept
CHAPTER THREE
3.1 Methodology
3.2 Method of Data Collection
3.3 Data Presentation
CHAPTER FOUR
4.0 Computation and Data Analysis
CHAPTER FIVE
5.1 Conclusion
5.2 Summary
5.3 Recommendation
Reference
CHAPTER
ONE
1.1 INTRODUCTION
Hajia
Gambo Sawaba General Hospital since its inception in 1975 has received
considerable amount of people, for treatment medical advice, family planning
and a host of other reason. Different categories of people have patronized the
hospital for its efficiency.
It
is therefore in the best interest of the researcher to use his or her knowledge
of statistic application is the attendance of ill health (patients) attending
the hospital. It does not and here the research as will look forward to
classifying, arranging and recording the monthly, quarterly, annual, bi-annual
attendance of patients in the hospital.
In
an attempt to introduce efficient methods and routine towards comparing the
total attendance of, in and out patient this in general comprises of male,
female and children patient attending the hospital.
To
crown it all, it shall be in form of data (secondary, primary data) depending
on the set of people wishing to use it and purpose or criterion behind using
the research, the data collected will be analysis organized, summarized and
compiled. Since hospital patronage is consistent and continuous process, it
will be an efficient data collection, centres and will promote statistical
application and voluminous data i.e. moving average and time series analysis.
1.2 AIMS
OF OBJECTIVE
1. To
determine whether there is an increase or decrease in patients’ attendance.
2. To
forecast the patient attendance by using linear trend method
3. To
forecast for patient attendance using the fitted trend equation from 2008 to
2012
1.3 SCOPE
AND LIMITATION
This
research will limit it analysis on the comparison of the attendance of patient.
(IN and OUT) based on secondary data collected from the hospital Hajiya Gambo
Sawaba General Hospital Zaria from (1998 to 2007).
1.4 HISTORICAL
BACKGROUND OF SOURCE OF DATA
The
hospital was established and commissioned by His Excellency the Governor of
Kano State Late Alaji Audu Bako in 1975. The hospital is directly under Kaduna
State Ministry of Health.
VARIOUS DEPARTMENT OF THE HOSPITAL
The
hospital consists of nine (9) departments. The various departments include:
Medical Department:
The Medical Director is the overall boss of the hospital. He is only answerable
to the Kaduna State Commissioner of Health. He is in charge of all medical
cases.
Administration Department:
Hospital secretary is the head of this department. He heads all the
administrative staff of various departments of the hospital and all heads of
department are under him and answerable them, as every head administered on his
behalf.
Nursing Service Department:
The nursing service department is in charge with central of nurses, their
posting, their duty roster, their shifting training to other post basic
courses.
Medical Record Department:
This department deals with keeping record and collection of data.
Laboratory:
Technologist works in the laboratory and for the operation of laboratories
equipment.
Pharmacy Department: The
pharmaceutical department is in charge with the supply of drugs, drugs custody,
drug protection and storage etc.
Radiology Department: The
radiology is in charge with x-ray e.g. chinstraps etc.
Ophthalmology Department: Ophthalmology
department is in charge with all cases of eye, its treatment etc.
E.N.T Department:
This department is in charge with all cases of ear.
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